Though conflict in Syria and Iraq dominates headlines, the Islamist militants of North Africa still present a huge global risk. Daveed Gartenstein-Ross, of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, highlights the major players and traces the complex allegiances and political imperatives operating in the region — and shares a very worrying prediction for Egypt’s near future.

Octavian Report: Can you thumbnail the landscape of Islamist militancy in North Africa at the moment?
Daveed Gartenstein-Ross: Looking at the three post-revolution countries (where we tend to be focused when we look at North Africa, rather than on Morocco …
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Daveed Gartenstein-Ross is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. His work has appeared in The New York Times, The Washington Post, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, and The Atlantic, among other publications.